Arusberita.id – Ekonomi Indonesia diproyeksi masih dapat tumbuh positif pada 2024. Menurut proyeksi beberapa lembaga internasional seperti IMF, World Bank, ADB, OECD dan Fitch Ratings, ekonomi Indonesia bisa tumbuh di level sekitar 5% tahun ini.
Chief Economist Citibank NA Indonesia (Citi Indonesia) Helmi Arman juga memperkirakan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia berkisar 5% di tahun ini. Hal tersebut didorong dari selesainya Pemilihan Umum (Pemilu) yang lebih cepat dalam satu putaran.
“Terlebih lagi, kalau kita lihat manifesto Presiden terpilih mengedepankan keberlanjutan berbagai kebijakan pemerintahan pak Jokowi. Ini membuka jalan untuk percepatan pemulihan stimulus investasi sektor swasta,” kata Helmi dalam agenda konferensi pers di Jakarta, Selasa (2/4).
Helmi memaparkan, sektor penopang pertumbuhan ekonomi tahun ini berasal dari industri manufaktur, terutama logam dasar. Dirinya menilai nilai tambah (added value) dari sektor tersebut selalu bertambah setiap tahunnya.
“Jadi kalau 2-3 tahun lalu Indonesia mengekspor nikel dalam bentuk stainless steel dan nikel pig iron, selama 1-2 tahun terakhir value added sudah mulai meningkat lagi ke logam yang kandungan nikelnya lebih tinggi seperti produk nikel sulfat dan nikel matte,” ucapnya.
Selain manufaktur, lanjutnya, sektor energi intensif seperti pulp and paper juga bakal menjadi salah satu penopang perekonomian Indonesia. Pasalnya, sejak perang Rusia-Ukraina sejumlah industri kertas di Eropa banyak yang tutup sehingga kebutuhan akan produk tersebut mengharuskan impor dari berbagai negara termasuk Indonesia.
“Sejak perang Rusia-Ukraina, ekspor RI untuk produk yang energi intensif seperti pulp and paper itu juga meningkat signifikan karena memang di Eropa kegiatan produksi sektor itu banyak yang tutup, sehingga banyak mereka cari supplier dari luar negeri salah satunya Indonesia,” ujarnya.
Helmi mengungkapkan sektor konstruksi juga bakal tumbuh positif di tahun ini karena adanya pembangunan Ibu Kota Nusantara (IKN) yang semakin masif.
“Dengan turunnya ketidakpastian politik, sektor properti bisa lebih menggeliat. Jadi ini juga seharusnya bisa menopang sektor konstruksi,” tuturnya.
Wakil Direktur Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (Indef) Eko Listiyanto memproyeksikan ekonomi RI tumbuh lebih rendah yakni di level 4,8% di tahun 2024. Dirinya menyatakan sektor penopang perekonomian RI bakal berasal dari industri makanan dan industri logam.
“Tingkat pertumbuhan ini lebih rendah dari target pemerintah dalam asumsi makro APBN 2024 sebesar 5,2%,” jelasnya kepada Kontan, Selasa (2/4).
Eko menuturkan, faktor tekanan daya beli masyarakat bawah, moderatnya laju pertumbuhan kredit ke sektor riil, serta berakhirnya windfall harga komoditas mentah global menjadi bagian dari gambaran kinerja ekonomi 2024 mendatang.
Kepala Ekonom Bank Central Asia (BCA) David Sumual memproyeksikan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi RI bisa mencapai level 5%-5,2% di tahun ini. Ia menyampaikan pertumbuhan tersebut bakal ditopang investasi hilirisasi mineral dan pertanian.
“Selain itu, faktor pendorongnya adalah sektor konsumsi termasuk makanan dan minuman,” kata David kepada Kontan, Selasa (2/4).
Lebih lanjut, David mengungkapkan bahwa pertumbuhan ekonomi juga kemungkinan masih terkendala permintaan global yang lemah dan menunggu kebijakan dari program yang diselenggarakan pemerintahan berikutnya.
366 Komentar
hi!,I love your writing so much! proportion we keep up a correspondence
extra about your post on AOL? I require an expert on this house to solve my
problem. May be that is you! Taking a look forward to peer
you.
hello there and thank you for your info – I’ve definitely picked up anything new from right here.
I did however expertise a few technical issues using this site,
since I experienced to reload the web site many times previous to I could get it to load properly.
I had been wondering if your web host is OK? Not that I am complaining, but sluggish loading
instances times will sometimes affect your placement in google
and could damage your high-quality score if advertising and marketing with Adwords.
Well I’m adding this RSS to my email and could look out for much more
of your respective interesting content. Ensure that you update this again very soon.
Sweet blog! I found it while surfing around on Yahoo News.
Do you have any tips on how to get listed in Yahoo News?
I’ve been trying for a while but I never seem to get there!
Many thanks
Thanks for any other informative blog. Where else may I get that kind of information written in such
a perfect approach? I have a challenge that I am just
now running on, and I’ve been at the look out for
such information.
What’s up, its good paragraph regarding media print, we all know media is a great source of information.
each time i used to read smaller articles which as well
clear their motive, and that is also happening with this
post which I am reading now.
Hey there! Do you use Twitter? I’d like to follow you if that would be
okay. I’m definitely enjoying your blog and look forward to new updates.
Somebody essentially assist to make significantly
articles I might state. This is the first time I frequented your web page and to this
point? I surprised with the analysis you made to create this particular publish
extraordinary. Wonderful activity!
My partner and I stumbled over here by a different page and thought I might
as well check things out. I like what I see so now i’m following
you. Look forward to looking at your web page again.
I was able to find good advice from your articles.
No matter if some one searches for his essential thing, therefore he/she
wants to be available that in detail, so that thing is maintained over
here.
Asking questions are truly good thing if you are not understanding something completely,
but this paragraph gives fastidious understanding even.
This website really has all the info I needed concerning
this subject and didn’t know who to ask.
I like the valuable info you supply for your articles.
I’ll bookmark your weblog and take a look at once more right here regularly.
I am relatively sure I will be told plenty of new
stuff proper here! Good luck for the next!
Thanks , I’ve recently been looking for info approximately this
topic for a long time and yours is the greatest
I have discovered till now. But, what concerning the conclusion?
Are you certain in regards to the supply?
Simply desire to say your article is as astonishing. The clearness
in your post is just excellent and i can assume you are an expert on this subject.
Well with your permission allow me to grab your RSS feed to keep up to date with forthcoming post.
Thanks a million and please continue the rewarding work.