Arusberita.id – Survei Litbang Kompas yang dilakukan 27 Juli – 7 Agustus 2023 menunjukkan adanya peningkatan signifikan dalam elektabilitas Ganjar Pranowo.
Peningkatan ini ternyata didorong oleh dukungan dari pemilih pemula yang sebelumnya cenderung meninggalkan Ganjar.
Menurut laporan Litbang Kompas, pada awal 2023 Ganjar Pranowo menduduki posisi teratas dalam peta elektabilitas calon presiden (capres) dengan angka 25,3 persen.
Pada survei itu, sekitar 22,4 persen dari pemilih pemula mendukung Ganjar. Namun, semua berubah saat survei Juni 2023. Elektabilitas Ganjar turun menjadi 22,8 persen dan dukungan dari pemilih pemula juga merosot menjadi 20,9 persen.
Pada saat yang sama, pemilih pemula lebih banyak beralih mendukung Prabowo, yang elektabilitasnya mengungguli Ganjar pada survei bulan Juni 2023.
Litbang Kompas sendiri mencatat sekitar 25,5 persen dari total pemilih yang mendukung Prabowo pada saat itu adalah pemilih pemula.
Walakin, dalam survei terbaru edisi Agustus 2023, elektabilitas Ganjar Pranowo mengalami rebound mencapai 24,9 persen, dan kembali menduduki peringkat teratas.
Tidak hanya itu, proporsi pemilih pemula yang mendukung Ganjar juga meningkat menjadi sekitar 23,2 persen.
Di sisi lain, proporsi pemilih pemula yang mendukung Prabowo mengalami penurunan menjadi 19,1 persen.
“Peningkatan elektabilitas Ganjar pada survei terakhir ini sekaligus mengonfirmasikan kembalinya dukungan para pemilih pemula kepada dirinya,” tulis Litbang Kompas, dikutip JPNN.com, Senin (4/9).
Survei melalui wawancara tatap muka ini dilakukan Litbang Kompas pada 27 Juli-7 Agustus 2023 dan melibatkan 1.364 responden yang dipilih secara acak menggunakan metode pencuplikan sistematis bertingkat di 38 provinsi.
Metode ini menggunakan tingkat kepercayaan 95 persen, serta margin of error penelitian lebih kurang 2,65 persen dalam kondisi penarikan sampel acak sederhana.
This piece of writing is actually a good one it helps new
net people, who are wishing for blogging.
Wonderful work! That is the kind of info that are supposed to be shared across the web.
Disgrace on Google for now not positioning this submit upper!
Come on over and seek advice from my web site . Thank you =)
It’s ɑmazing to visit this site and reading the views of
all friends regarding this paragraph, while
I am also eager of getting know-how.
It’s remarkable to visit this website and reading the views of all colleagues about this post, while I am also keen of getting know-how.
Website
Hey there would you mind stating which blog platform you’re working with? I’m going to start my own blog soon but I’m having a hard time selecting between BlogEngine/Wordpress/B2evolution and Drupal. The reason I ask is because your design seems different then most blogs and I’m looking for something unique. P.S Sorry for being off-topic but I had to ask!
And models might weigh facts in credit reports differently
as aspect of their calculations.
I think this is among the most significant information for me.
And i’m glad reading your article. But should remark on few
general things, The website style is wonderful, the articles is
really excellent : D. Good job, cheers
Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video to make your point.
You clearly know what youre talking about, why waste your
intelligence on just posting videos to your site when you could be
giving us something informative to read?
Good day very nice web site!! Guy .. Excellent ..
Amazing .. I’ll bookmark your blog and take the feeds also?
I’m glad to seek out numerous useful information right here within the put up, we want work out extra strategies in this regard, thanks for sharing.
. . . . .
I couldn’t resist commenting. Exceptionally well written!
I constantly spent my half an hour to read this webpage’s articles daily along with a
mug of coffee.
Thanks for some other informative site. The place else could I am getting that kind of information written in such an ideal approach?
I’ve a challenge that I am simply now operating on,
and I have been on the glance out for such info.
I think this is one of the most important info
for me. And i’m glad reading your article. But wanna remark on few
general things, The website style is great, the articles is really nice : D.
Good job, cheers
I’ve been browsing online more than three hours today, yet I never
found any interesting article like yours. It is pretty worth enough for me.
Personally, if all site owners and bloggers made good content as
you did, the net will be a lot more useful than ever before.
Saved аѕ a favorite, I like yoᥙr site!
Mｙ webpage – fabric sofa