Survei Litbang “Kompas”: Elektabilitas Ganjar dan Prabowo Bersaing Ketat

Arusberita.id – Survei Litbang Kompas yang digelar pada 27 Juli hingga 7 Agustus 2023 menunjukkan, elektabilitas bakal calon presiden dari PDI-P Ganjar Pranowo bersaing ketat dengan bakal calon presiden dari Partai Gerindra Prabowo Subianto.

Berdasarkan hasil survei, Ganjar tercatat unggul tipis dari Prabowo, baik dalam simulasi terbuka, 10 nama, 5 nama, maupun 3 nama, meski selisihnya masih dalam rentang margin of error.

“Dalam survei terbaru Kompas, elektabilitas Ganjar Pranowo di angka 24,9 persen, Prabowo Subianto 24,6 persen, dan Anies Baswedan 12,7 persen,” tulis Litbang Kompas, dikutip dari Harian Kompas edisi Senin (21/8/2023).

Angka di atas merupakan hasil survei dalam simulasi pilihan terbuka di mana responden dapat menyebut siapa pun yang menurut mereka layak dipilih menjadi presiden.

Dalam simulasi 10 nama, lima nama, dan tiga nama, elektabilitas Ganjar juga bersaing ketat dengan prabowo.

Dalam skema 10 nama, misalnya, Ganjar mendapatkan 29,6 persen, sedangkan Prabowo 27,1 persen, dan Anies 15,2 persen. Kemudian, dalam skema lima nama, perolehan Ganjar 31,8 persen, Prabowo 27,8 persen, dan Anies 15,6 persen.

Kompas menyatakan, hasil tersebut menunjukkan bahwa hanya suara Ganjar yang tampak menanjak.

“Perubahan dari 10 ke lima nama itu relatif tidak mengubah suara untuk Prabowo dan Anies sehingga jarak keterpilihan Ganjar semakin lebar dengan Prabowo dan Anies,” tulis Litbang Kompas.

Sementara itu, dalam simulasi tiga nama, Ganjar mendapatkan elektabilitas 34,1 persen, unggul dari Prabowo yang punya 31,3 persen dan Anies 19,2 persen.

“Meski demikian, suara Ganjar dan Prabowo belum bisa dikatakan berbeda secara signifikan alias masih bersaing ketat,” tulis Litbang Kompas.

Survei ini dilakukan dengan tatap muka pada 27 Juli-7 Agustus 2023, melibatkan 1.364 responden di 38 provinsi yang tersebar di 331 desa/kelurahan di Indonesia, dengan margin of error +/- 2,65 persen.

Tinggalkan Balasan

Alamat email Anda tidak akan dipublikasikan. Ruas yang wajib ditandai *

516 komentar

  1. Профессиональный сервисный центр по ремонту бытовой техники с выездом на дом.
    Мы предлагаем: ремонт крупногабаритной техники в москве
    Наши мастера оперативно устранят неисправности вашего устройства в сервисе или с выездом на дом!

  2. Профессиональный сервисный центр по ремонту компьютеров и ноутбуков в Москве.
    Мы предлагаем: чистка macbook
    Наши мастера оперативно устранят неисправности вашего устройства в сервисе или с выездом на дом!

  3. Thanks for another informative site. Where else could I get that type of info written in such an ideal way? I’ve a project that I’m just now working on, and I’ve been on the look out for such information.

  4. LMCHING stands out as a reliable distributor among luxury beauty retailers of both France and the UK,
    because of its emphasis on product excellence and trust.

    The business provides the premium feeling that customers expect from
    La Mer, while maintaining lower costs that is often more affordable than the offerings from leading brands.
    This blend of premium standards with cost-efficiency establishes LMCHING as a favorite as a trusted vendor of
    genuine La Mer skincare within the luxury skincare community.

    With a firm focus on consistent quality, LMCHING only sources genuine La Mer products, providing
    customers with the assurance that they are receiving authentic items.

    Even though prices are reduced, the company prides itself on maintaining La Mer’s original quality
    La Mer is known for. This commitment to true offerings
    lies at the heart of LMCHING’s business philosophy, distinguishing it from
    major digital retailers with questionable product authenticity.

    One major benefit of choosing LMCHING is its quick and well-organized logistics.

    The company offers three-day delivery on all orders, so customers can swiftly receive their luxury skincare items with no delays.

    This quick order fulfillment further separates LMCHING from
    larger e-commerce competitors, where shipping can be slow,
    but also enhances the overall customer experience, creating
    a convenient and trusted shopping journey.

    The company’s competitive prices play a big role in its appeal, and it doesn’t affect positive
    buyer interactions. The organization strives to maintain affordable rates
    without compromising that customers have a positive and personalized interaction with the brand.
    LMCHING’s emphasis on real products, good pricing, and quick delivery provides a winning mix for consumers seeking genuine La Mer luxury without compromise.

    Firmly positioned as a recognized distributor, LMCHING’s brand image keeps rising in both European markets.
    Customers appreciate the company’s honest pricing—providing real La Mer items at reasonable
    rates, with no hidden surprises. This focus on transparency and
    customer care builds a devoted following that keeps returning.

    The brand’s ongoing market growth can be attributed to its clear mission: to deliver premium
    skincare solutions while keeping it affordable.
    LMCHING’s focus on high standards is reflected in its entire business
    model, from acquiring products to delivering them, making sure the premium beauty
    treatment can be easily enjoyed at no loss of excellence.